Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Desmond RidderPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Falcons vs. Commanders
Right now, Desmond Ridder’s passing yards prop is set at 203.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 203.5 (-110) after it opened @ 204.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Commanders pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, giving up 8.97 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.
- The Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.7 total plays called: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Desmond Ridder to throw 30.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Projection
THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards
218
Passing Yards
