Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper RushPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Eagles vs. Cowboys
Right now, Cooper Rush’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-109/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 218.5 (-125) after it opened @ 222.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to attempt 37.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
- Cooper Rush has been among the weakest QBs in the NFL this year, averaging 163.0 yards per game while grading out in the 12th percentile.
- Cooper Rush has been among the least accurate QBs in football this year with a 60.5% Completion%, ranking in the 25th percentile.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest rate in the league against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (61.9%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.13 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
239
Passing Yards
239
Passing Yards
