Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Bryce Young from EV Insight

Bryce YoungPassing Yards

Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 225.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 225.5 (-110) after it opened @ 214.5 (-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Panthers offense to tilt 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a massive 14-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This year, the porous Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a massive 263.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in football.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are projected by the model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
The the Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Bryce Young has been among the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 5.33 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 3rd percentile.
The Dolphins safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
228
Passing Yards