Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Bailey Zappe from EV Insight

Bailey ZappePassing Yards

Right now, Bailey Zappe’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 202.5 (-120) after it opened @ 205.5 (-110).

Pros

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.68 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.
The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
202
Passing Yards