Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Raheem Mostert from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Raheem Mostert

Raheem MostertRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 5

Jets vs. Dolphins

Right now, Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to accumulate 14.6 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • Raheem Mostert has earned 50.0% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The New York Jets safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons

  • The Dolphins rank as the 10th-least run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 33.4% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense as the 2nd-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.77 seconds per play.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Raheem Mostert’s rushing effectiveness (3.47 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (19th percentile among RBs).
  • Raheem Mostert has been among the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.54 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.

Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trevor Lawrence from EV Insight Next Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Justin Fields from EV Insight