Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Cardinals vs. Eagles
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-115) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.5 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 15.6 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
- The Arizona Cardinals safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards
75
Rushing Yards
