NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (4/8)
Kenneth Le
New York Jets 
New England Patriots 
Miami Dolphins 
Buffalo Bills 
Pittsburgh Steelers 
Cleveland Browns 
Cincinnati Bengals 
Baltimore Ravens 
Tennessee Titans 
Jacksonville Jaguars 
Indianapolis Colts 
Houston Texans 
Las Vegas Raiders 
Los Angeles Chargers 
Kansas City Chiefs 
Denver Broncos 
Washington Commanders 
Philadelphia Eagles 
New York Giants 
Dallas Cowboys 
Minnesota Vikings 
Green Bay Packers 
Detroit Lions 
Chicago Bears 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 
New Orleans Saints 
Carolina Panthers 
Atlanta Falcons 
San Francisco 49ers 
Seattle Seahawks 
Los Angeles Rams 
Arizona Cardinals 
Boston Celtics 
Brooklyn Nets 
Philadelphia 76ers 
New York Knicks 
Toronto Raptors 
Chicago Bulls 
Detroit Pistons 
Milwaukee Bucks 
Cleveland Cavaliers 
Indiana Pacers 
Orlando Magic 
Atlanta Hawks 
Charlotte Hornets 
Miami Heat 
Washington Wizards 
Denver Nuggets 
Minnesota Timberwolves 
Oklahoma City Thunder 
Portland Trail Blazers 
Utah Jazz 
LA Clippers 
Golden State Warriors 
Los Angeles Lakers 
Phoenix Suns 
Sacramento Kings 
Dallas Mavericks 
Houston Rockets 
Memphis Grizzlies 
New Orleans Pelicans 
San Antonio Spurs 
Leonard FournetteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Right now, Leonard Fournette’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-109/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 63.5 (-125) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a giant 10-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to notch 17.3 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
- Leonard Fournette has averaged 56.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (79th percentile).
- The Atlanta Falcons defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.30 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 5th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a less important option in his offense’s rushing attack this week (68.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (82.2% in games he has played).
- Leonard Fournette’s running effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 3.73 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.01 mark last season.
- Leonard Fournette has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.37 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 14th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Rushing Yards
76
Rushing Yards