Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Joe Mixon from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Joe Mixon

Joe MixonRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 5

Ravens vs. Bengals

Right now, Joe Mixon’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to notch 18.1 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon has earned 89.1% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has generated 57.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (80th percentile).
Cons

  • The Bengals are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in run blocking.

Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Rushing Yards

Previous College Football Week 6 Betting Odds, Picks, and Trends Next Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Stefon Diggs from EV Insight