Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Bills vs. Steelers
Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 53.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Bills are a big 14-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Buffalo Bills have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to notch 13.3 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Cons
- The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the least run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 29.0% run rate.
- Devin Singletary has been a more integral piece of his team’s offense this year, playing on 68.9% of snaps compared to just 57.9% last year.
- The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
- Devin Singletary has run for many fewer yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards
58
Rushing Yards
