Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Eagles
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
- The predictive model expects the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.
- Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
- Tyler Higbee’s 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a an impressive boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 38.0 mark.
Cons
- The Rams offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards
34
Receiving Yards
