Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-115) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to earn 7.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Rams are a 5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 33.0) to TEs this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 3.91 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards