Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight

Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-131/-104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 27.5 (-131) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets will be forced to use backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
In this contest, Tyler Conklin is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
Tyler Conklin has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 16.2% this year, which places him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Tyler Conklin has been among the best TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 32.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
The Broncos defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (56.0) to TEs this year.

Cons

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
After averaging 38.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Conklin has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 30.0 per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards