Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Richie James from EV Insight

Richie JamesReceiving Yards

Right now, Richie James’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to accrue 6.7 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
Richie James has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Richie James has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 78.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 88th percentile among WRs.

Cons

The Giants rank as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards