Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mo Alie-Cox from EV Insight

Mo Alie-CoxReceiving Yards

Right now, Mo Alie-Cox’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mo Alie-Cox to garner 3.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among TEs.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Mo Alie-Cox has put up many more receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox has notched far fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

Projection

THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards