Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mo Alie-CoxReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Colts
Right now, Mo Alie-Cox’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Mo Alie-Cox to garner 3.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among TEs.
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Mo Alie-Cox has put up many more receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Mo Alie-Cox has notched far fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
- The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
- The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
- The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
Projection
THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards
28
Receiving Yards
