Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.5% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 8.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Michael Pittman has totaled a monstrous 73.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among WRs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 110.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (59.9%) vs. wideouts this year (59.9%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 6.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards