Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Colts
Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
- Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.5% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 8.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
- Michael Pittman has totaled a monstrous 73.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 110.0) vs. WRs this year.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (59.9%) vs. wideouts this year (59.9%).
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 6.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
- The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
