Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
- Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projections to call 67.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
- With an extraordinary 92.2% Route% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates as one of the TEs with the most usage in football.
- The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to total 6.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- With a terrific 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews places as one of the top TEs in the pass game in the league.
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Steelers defense has allowed the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 33.0) to TEs this year.
- When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
