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Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja’Marr Chase from EV Insight

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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 5

Ravens vs. Bengals

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 71.5 (-110) after it opened @ 70.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Bengals are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (104.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Ja’Marr Chase’s pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a measly 8.23 yards-per-target vs a 10.20 mark last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards

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