Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (+104/-128).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-128) after it opened @ 40.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett has put up significantly more air yards this year (52.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).
Gerald Everett’s 37.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 27.5.
Gerald Everett has compiled many more receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Gerald Everett’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 62.4%.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards