Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 43.5 (-110).

Pros

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
In this contest, Drake London is projected by the projection model to slot into the 80th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.
Drake London’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have improved this year, compiling 2.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 figure last year.

Cons

The projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Texans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
Drake London’s 19.6% Target Rate this year signifies a a substantial decline in his passing attack workload over last year’s 29.1% rate.
Drake London has posted quite a few less air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
Drake London has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards