Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Raiders are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Davante Adams has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (81.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
Davante Adams’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 59.6%.
Davante Adams’s pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 7.52 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 rate last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.49 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
97
Receiving Yards