Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Daniel Bellinger from EV Insight

Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards

Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-103) after it opened @ 18.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.5 plays per game.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (74.7%) to tight ends since the start of last season (74.7%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Cons

The Giants rank as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards