Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Courtland Sutton from EV Insight

Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).

Pros

With an impressive 91.2% Route% (85th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton stands among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.8 targets.
Courtland Sutton has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 61.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Courtland Sutton’s 74.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a a material growth in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 59.4% rate.
Courtland Sutton’s 9.1 adjusted yards per target this season marks a a significant boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 7.9 mark.

Cons

The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.1 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.2 plays per game.
After accumulating 100.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has significantly declined this season, now pacing 72.0 per game.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Jets defense has conceded a puny 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards