Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 93.5 (-110) after it opened @ 98.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to garner 12.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

The Rams are a 5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Cooper Kupp’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 8.76 yards-per-target compared to a 10.36 rate last year.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (57%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.0%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
118
Receiving Yards