Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 10.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Olave has compiled a monstrous 169.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave’s 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

Cons

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
Chris Olave has been among the worst WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) versus wideouts this year.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Receiving Yards