Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Russell Wilson from EV Insight

Russell WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 221.5 (-110).

Pros

Russell Wilson’s 66.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a a substantial growth in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 59.3% rate.
The New York Jets defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-most in the league.

Cons

The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.1 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.2 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Russell Wilson to attempt 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.71 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
219
Passing Yards