Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Jets
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 221.5 (-110).
Pros
- Russell Wilson’s 66.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a a substantial growth in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 59.3% rate.
- The New York Jets defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-most in the league.
Cons
- The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.1 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
- The Broncos have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.2 plays per game.
- The leading projections forecast Russell Wilson to attempt 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
- The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.71 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
219
Passing Yards
219
Passing Yards
