Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Matt RyanPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Colts
Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
- Matt Ryan has attempted 40.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Matt Ryan has thrown for many more yards per game (282.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 188.0 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (65.2%).
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.26 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
- The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards
245
Passing Yards
