Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matt Ryan from EV Insight

Matt RyanPassing Yards

Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-115).

Pros

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
Matt Ryan has attempted 40.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Matt Ryan has thrown for many more yards per game (282.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 188.0 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (65.2%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.26 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards