Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 247.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 247.5 (-110) after it opened @ 249.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 70.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cons

Kyler Murray’s passing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 63.9%.
Kyler Murray’s passing effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.02 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 figure last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (60.9%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, surrendering 6.18 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards