Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+108/-141).
The public has bet the OVER up to 249.5 (+108) after it opened @ 238.5 (-114).
Pros
- Opposing offenses have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year, averaging 26.21 seconds per play.
- The Eagles O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Rams linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
- This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a puny 178.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 3rd-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards
261
Passing Yards
