Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jacoby Brissett from EV Insight

Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards

Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-101/-135).

The public has bet the OVER up to 210.5 (-101) after it opened @ 209.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has passed for significantly more yards per game (219.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).
Jacoby Brissett’s throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.2% to 66.1%.
Jacoby Brissett’s throwing efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 6.91 yards-per-target compared to a mere 5.54 mark last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (74.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense as the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 31.3 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
194
Passing Yards