Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Giants are a big 13-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
In this week’s contest, Daniel Jones is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.7.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (269.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

Cons

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Daniel Jones has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging just 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 21st percentile.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
246
Passing Yards