Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper RushPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Cowboys
Right now, Cooper Rush’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-133) after it opened @ 238.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% pass rate.
- Cooper Rush has attempted a measly 27.1 throws per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among QBs.
- Cooper Rush has been among the weakest QBs in the NFL this year, averaging 176.0 yards per game while ranking in the 21st percentile.
- Cooper Rush has been among the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a 60.0% Completion%, checking in at the 19th percentile.
- The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards
250
Passing Yards
