Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight

Brock PurdyPassing Yards

Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 245.5 (-110) after it opened @ 236.5 (-110).

Pros

Brock Purdy’s 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a a significant progression in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 151.0 mark.
Brock Purdy’s 73.1% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a a remarkable growth in his passing accuracy over last season’s 66.4% rate.
Brock Purdy’s 9.44 adjusted yards-per-target this season marks a a noteworthy improvement in his passing efficiency over last season’s 8.0% figure.

Cons

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards