Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Giants vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-135/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 64.5 (-135) after it opened @ 62.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker to accrue 15.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Among all running backs, Kenneth Walker grades out in the 95th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 66.2% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
- Kenneth Walker has grinded out 71.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to RBs (95th percentile).
- Kenneth Walker’s rushing efficiency (4.67 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (76th percentile among running backs).
- The Giants defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 5.22 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 40.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
- The model projects the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
- The Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
