Week 4 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Javonte Williams from EV Insight

Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).

Pros

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Javonte Williams to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Javonte Williams has garnered 56.5% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (155 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams has taken a step back when it comes to generating extra ground yardage this year, accumulating 2.36 yards-after-contact vs a 3.49 mark last year.
The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards