Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Eagles vs. Commanders
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-131) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 7th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.
- D’Andre Swift’s rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 6.82 yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.43 figure last season.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
