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Chris Meaney
Cam AkersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
49ers vs. Rams
Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 36.5 (-115) after it opened @ 42.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week’s game.
- Cam Akers has earned 49.1% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
- The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
- The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 35.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Rams have called the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 57.2 plays per game.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense owns the best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 3.91 yards-per-carry.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards
50
Rushing Yards
