Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Romeo Doubs from EV Insight

Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards

Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (+106) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Romeo Doubs to garner 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among WRs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
Romeo Doubs’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 60.9%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards