Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
Robert Woods has run a route on 89.5% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Robert Woods has posted a whopping 61.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.
Robert Woods has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 61.0 yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards