Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Ravens vs. Bills
Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- Rashod Bateman has garnered a colossal 29.7% of his offense’s air yards this year: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Rashod Bateman has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 47.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
- Rashod Bateman has been among the top WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 78th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 5th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per play.
- The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
- Rashod Bateman’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 50.0%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards
39
Receiving Yards
