Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashod Bateman from EV Insight

Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-120).

Pros

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
Rashod Bateman has garnered a colossal 29.7% of his offense’s air yards this year: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Rashod Bateman has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 47.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Rashod Bateman has been among the top WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 5th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
Rashod Bateman’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 50.0%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards