NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Noah FantReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Giants vs. Seahawks
Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.
- Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
- Noah Fant has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 77th percentile among TEs.
- Noah Fant has notched a monstrous 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.
- Noah Fant has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 30.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
Cons
- The model projects the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in football.
- The Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.9%) vs. tight ends this year (64.9%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
