Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).

Pros

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has run a route on 92.8% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to total 7.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has notched a monstrous 74.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among TEs.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the league.
Mark Andrews’s receiving efficiency has declined this season, averaging a mere 6.19 yards-per-target compared to a 7.76 rate last season.
The Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 4th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (65.7%) versus TEs since the start of last season (65.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards