Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Texans vs. Chargers
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (+106/-145).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-145) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 61.0 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
- Gerald Everett’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 54.4%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
