Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-145) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
Gerald Everett’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 54.4%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards