College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Colts vs. Titans
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
- Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper has notched a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among tight ends.
- The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 59.7%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
