Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper has notched a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among tight ends.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) to TEs since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 59.7%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards