Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Adam Trautman from EV Insight

Adam TrautmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Adam Trautman’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 16.5 (-110) after it opened @ 15.5 (-110).

Pros

Adam Trautman has gone out for fewer passes this season (72.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (28.5%).
Adam Trautman has been among the best tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 80th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in football (75.6%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (75.6%).
The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Cons

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
Adam Trautman’s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.6% to 61.7%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards