NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Adam TrautmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Bears vs. Broncos
Right now, Adam Trautman’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 16.5 (-110) after it opened @ 15.5 (-110).
Pros
- Adam Trautman has gone out for fewer passes this season (72.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (28.5%).
- Adam Trautman has been among the best tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 80th percentile.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in football (75.6%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (75.6%).
- The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Cons
- The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
- Adam Trautman’s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.6% to 61.7%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards
18
Receiving Yards
