Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Steelers vs. Jets
Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 215.5 (-120) after it opened @ 215.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 37.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.0%).
Cons
- The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- Mitchell Trubisky has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 69.0 yards per game while grading out in the 5th percentile.
- Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least accurate passers in football this year with a 60.8% Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile.
- Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 5.57 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 3rd percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
258
Passing Yards
258
Passing Yards
