FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Derek CarrPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Saints vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Derek Carr’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.93 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Cons
- The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Saints offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.19 yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards
266
Passing Yards
