Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Bengals vs. Rams
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier conditions this week.
- Kyren Williams has been on the field for 43.5% of his offense’s snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
- The projections expect Kyren Williams to accumulate 15.9 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons
- The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect the Rams to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-least yards in football (just 110 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
68
Rushing Yards
68
Rushing Yards
