Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Dolphins vs. Broncos
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-135/+105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (+105) after it opened @ 51.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to earn 13.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Cons
- The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Javonte Williams has struggled more with grinding out extra ground yardage this year, notching 2.48 yards-after-contact vs a 3.49 mark last year.
- Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least yards in football (just 109 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards
54
Rushing Yards
