Week 3 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Javonte Williams from EV Insight

Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (+105) after it opened @ 51.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to earn 13.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Cons

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams has struggled more with grinding out extra ground yardage this year, notching 2.48 yards-after-contact vs a 3.49 mark last year.
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least yards in football (just 109 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards