THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 64.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accumulate 21.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has averaged 95.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (99th percentile).
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
Cons
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller piece of his offense’s run game this week (77.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (89.9% in games he has played).
Derrick Henry’s rushing effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 3.01 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.31 mark last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 4.23 yards-per-carry.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.