Week 3 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-113) after it opened @ 39.5 (-109).

Pros

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
D’Andre Swift’s running efficiency (6.05 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (92nd percentile among RBs).

Cons

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards